Evaluation of the Historical Sampling Error for Global Models          下载免费PDF全文

SHEN Si  LIU Juan-Juan  WANG Bin 《大气和海洋科学快报》2015,8(5)

Various ensemble-based schemes are employed in data assimilation because they can use the ensemble to estimate the flow-dependent background error covariance. The most common way to generate the real-time ensemble is to use an ensemble forecast; however, this is very time-consuming. The historical sampling approach is an alternative way to generate the ensemble,by picking some snapshots from historical forecast series.With this approach, many ensemble-based assimilation schemes can be used in a deterministic forecast environment. Furthermore, considering the time that it saves, the method has the potential for operational application.However, the historical sampling approach carries with it a special kind of sampling error because, in a historical forecast, the way to integrate the ensemble members is different from the way to integrate the initial conditions at the analysis time(i.e., forcing and lateral boundary condition differences, and ‘warm start' or ‘cold start' differences). This study analyzes the results of an experiment with the Global Regional Assimilation Prediction System-Global Forecast System(GRAPES-GFS), to evaluate how the different integration configurations influence the historical sampling error for global models. The results show that the sampling error is dominated by diurnal cycle patterns as a result of the radiance forcing difference.Although the RMSEs of the sampling error are small, in view of the correlation coefficients of the perturbed ensemble, the sampling error for some variables on some levels(e.g., low-level temperature and humidity, stratospheric temperature and geopotential height and humidity), is non-negligible. The results suggest some caution must be applied, and advice taken, when using the historical sampling approach.  相似文献   

河南省农业气象服务平台的设计与实现     

薛龙琴 《气象与环境科学》2015,38(4):99-104

为适应日益增长的农业气象产品服务需求,构建了河南省农业气象服务平台。河南省农业气象服务平台采用省、市、县三级产品共享机制,采用统一产品格式、统一管理接口等方式对农业气象服务产品统一管理和网络共享。平台基于Internet运行,选择Meteo GIS作为地图服务,使用Flex技术和JSP语言进行开发。为了灵活适应不同地区的服务产品格式和服务需求,平台设计了产品自动转换程序,将不同的产品类型转换为统一的格式;开发了各区域展示页面和产品类型可以定制的功能。通过分级用户管理,实现全省农业气象服务产品的展示、气象资料的地图查询分析、特色农业、预警信息及农事建议的发布、专家在线指导、数据管理及用户管理等功能。河南省农业气象服务平台已通过验收并投入业务运行。业务运行结果表明,采用省、市、县三级共享机制的农业气象服务平台,实现了全省农业气象服务产品的分级管理和分级共享,扩大了农业气象服务的覆盖面,提高了农业气象服务的工作效率。  相似文献   

站式全景遥感影像展示方法与应用技术研究     

梁冰  杜萌  姚远  刘建华  杜明义 《地理信息世界》2015,(1):86-90

虚拟漫游技术已成功应用到社会各个领域,传统漫游技术如VRML(Virtual Reality Modeling Language)、Quick Time、PTGui(Panorama Tools)等存在集成难度大、建模时间长、投入成本高等问题。本文基于全景相机以及Pano2vr、Dynamic-Photo HDR、Photoshop等软硬件环境,研发搭建了一整套旅游景区全景影像采集与展示平台。该平台具有良好的沉浸性、多视角浏览、实现方法简单、搭建快速等优点,为旅游景点、酒店、历史文化名胜等场景的360度实景展示提供了有效地工程化解决途径。  相似文献   

页岩气资源调查评价中的采样测试工作     

李昭容  梁晓玲  王志文 《国土资源导刊(湖南)》2015,(1):90-95

页岩气是一种新的能源矿产,具有巨大的勘查开发潜力,现已成为全球油气勘探的一个新领域。采样测试作为一种勘查手段,在页岩气气藏岩性、成因来源、赋存形式、成藏特征、成藏条件、含气量等方面的研究中起着极其重要的作用,在页岩气的勘查开发中具有极其重要的意义。在页岩气资源评价等勘查中,正确采集测试样品、合理选定测试项目和测试方法、有效运用采样测试这一勘查手段,是页岩气资源调查评价中一项十分重要的工作。  相似文献   

LiDAR虚拟仿真实践教学平台设计与建设     

阎跃观  郭俊廷  戴华阳  李明  陈中章 《北京测绘》2021,35(1):131-136

为适应测绘工作从三维空间测量向多维空间、从静态测量向动态实时测量、从地面向全域空间拓展的高新技术发展趋势,更好地应对信息化教育背景下的知识获取和传授方式、教与学关系等教改创新要求。本实验教学项目在现有实训课程基础上,以建构筑物三维空间信息快速采集与建模的真实测绘项目为基础,将三维激光测量技术、虚拟仿真技术与LiDAR技术进行深度融合;设计并建设了LiDAR虚拟仿真实践教学平台,运用C#开发程序界面和Pr视频编辑软件制作仿真动画,结合VLCPlayer视频播放插件,实现了对LiDAR仪器认知,测量模拟,数据处理和实践展示等功能,帮助学生理解并掌握LiDAR的相关知识和操作技能,取得了良好的教学效果。  相似文献   

Impact of different sampling rates on precise point positioning performance using online processing service     

Serdar Erol  Reha Metin Alkan  ?.Murat Ozulu  Veli Il?i 《地球空间信息科学学报》2021,24(2):302-312

In this study, the effect of different sampling rates (i.e. observation recording interval) on the Precise Point Positioning (PPP) solutions in terms of accuracy was investigated. For this purpose, a field test was carried out in ?orum province, Turkey, on 11 September 2019. Within this context, a Geodetic Point (GP) was established and precisely coordinated. A static GNSS measurement was occupied on the GP for about 4-hour time at 0.10 second (s)/10 Hz measurement intervals with the Trimble R10 geodetic grade GNSS receiver. The original observation file was converted to RINEX format and then decimated into the different data sampling rates as 0.2 s, 0.5 s, 1 s, 5 s, 10 s, 30 s, 60 s, and 120 s. All these RINEX observation files were submitted to the Canadian Spatial Reference System-Precise Point Positioning (CSRS-PPP) online processing service the day after the data collection date by choosing both static and kinematic processing options. In this way, PPP-derived static coordinates, and the kinematic coordinates of each measurement epoch were calculated. The PPP-derived coordinates obtained from each decimated sampling intervals were compared to known coordinates of the GP for northing, easting, 2D position, and height components. According to the static and kinematic processing results, high data sampling rates did not change the PPP solutions in terms of accuracy when compared to the results obtained using lower sampling rates. The results of this study imply that it was not necessary to collect GNSS data with high-rate intervals for many surveying projects requiring cm-level accuracy.  相似文献   

三维激光扫描技术点云数据采集与配准研究     

张亚  山锋  王涛 《地理空间信息》2021,19(3):24-27

点云数据采集与配准的精度决定了建筑物三维建模的精度。围绕建筑物点云数据采集与配准的精度问题,分别采用基于标靶的模式、基于形状匹配的模式和基于测站后视的模式进行建筑物表面点云数据的采集与配准处理,并从配准精度、特征点、特征边3个方面进行了对比分析。结果表明,基于形状匹配的模式的精度较低,其他两种模式克服了"同名点"的问题,在配准精度上有明显优势;而在数据采集与配准整体效率方面,基于测站后视的模式优于其他两种模式。  相似文献   

欠平衡钻井随钻储层评价技术方法与应用     

唐思洪  孟英峰  李皋  李永杰  魏纳  尹强  蔡道钢 《新疆地质》2011,29(1):103-105

欠平衡钻井随钻储层评价技术是在欠平衡条件下采用地面监测设备,根据地层渗流及井筒多相流耦合模型分析来获取储层参数的一项新技术.分析了随钻过程储层渗流边界特点,建立和求解该技术的渗流数学模型.通过现场实例数据分析表明,理论评价结果与实测结果一致,验证了该技术的正确性与可行性.  相似文献   

热磁技术方法条件实验及相关问题   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

胡树起  马生明  刘崇民  李冰  席明杰 《物探与化探》2011,35(2):212-217

热磁技术方法条件实验主要包括焙烧粒度、温度、时间及热磁组分分离等实验内容,对各技术环节进行了设计、试验,确立了一套合理的样品焙烧、热磁组分分选的技术流程,并就实验中遇到的一些问题进行了分析探讨,为热磁地球化学方法的引入、推广提供了基础技术支持。  相似文献   

Cretaceous Sandbody Characters at Shallow‐Water Lake Delta Front and the Sedimentary Dynamic Process Analysis in Songliao Basin,China     

CAI Xiyuan  ZHU Rong 《《地质学报》英文版》2011,85(6):1478-1494

Based on the abundant information from drilling, cores, and logging, the influence of topography, size of rivers and lakes, climate changes and the lake level’s fluctuation on the sandbodies at shallow-water delta front are systematically summarized and the sedimentary dynamic processes are analyzed. The interwell communication among the sandbodies and their planar distribution revealed from the hydrodynamic features of the development wells are integrated during the analysis. The fundamental requirements for the development of the shallow-water delta included flat topography and uniform subsiding rate. The delta plain was connected smoothly with the wide delta front and predelta, without the three-fold structure of topset, foreset, and bottomset as defined in the Gilbert Delta Model. Because of the weak fluvial effect and the lake energy is strong, the small and scattered shallow-water delta is destroyed by the scouring-backwashing, coastal current, and lake wave, resulting in the coastal sheet deposition. As the fluvial effect became stronger and the lake energy became weaker, the shape of the shallow-water deltas transferred from sheets to lumps and then branches.  相似文献